How would you explain a confidence interval to a non-technical audience?
Anonymous
Take yourself back to high school. You were out sick one day. That day you missed a massive food fight. You show up to school the next day and you want to know who or what caused the fight. Now imagine two scenarios: A) you talk to 100 people and their stories are pretty much aligned. It was Bill who started it B) you talk to 10 people and each one identifies a different person There is less certainty in situation B. This is clear. This is the same thing with confidence intervals. When we estimate the features of a population (a person's entire bloodstream, the nation's voting habits, e.g.) by using a sample (a blood test, a survey, e.g.) our confidence in that estimate is a function of sample size and standard deviation (i.e. how much the information changes/varies).
Check out your Company Bowl for anonymous work chats.