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Important facts and assumptions One Acre Fund's primary decision-making metric is called Social Return on Investment (SROI) and use of it as a decision-making metric is explained below. OAF stakeholders also value scale (number of farmers served) quite a bit. So, operational ease and feasibility is an important factor in decision-making. Stakeholders will also want to know about economic impact and cost metrics, such as cost per seedling, cost per farmer, impact per farmer, adoption rate per village, etc. but this is mostly for context. The number of trees distributed per farmer was capped in one of the trial arms (called 'T3' for short) because the nurseries did not produce enough to meet demand, primarily due to poor seed quality and low germination We are not sure what the survival rate of our farmers' planted seedlings will be (see Survival rates tab for a summary of evidence that one of your Program Officers put together) We are not sure what the planting rate of distributed seedlings will be, but we made estimates based on the Calculations tab. The "Tree Impact' tab is set up to estimate per-farmer farmer economic benefit (impact) based on a market price survey for the trees, input costs to the farmers, a standard net present value discount rate and opportunity cost of their land. There is one missing data point in the "Tree impact" model, found in pink/red. You need to estimate the number of trees each farmer will have that will survive to maturity (past two years) For budget, going forward we can assume a budget increase of 50% from each prior year. Our scale (number of farmers reached and trees grown) will depend on the budget.
avatar

Country Director

Interviewed at One Acre Fund

3.8★
Jun 13, 2019

Important facts and assumptions One Acre Fund's primary decision-making metric is called Social Return on Investment (SROI) and use of it as a decision-making metric is explained below. OAF stakeholders also value scale (number of farmers served) quite a bit. So, operational ease and feasibility is an important factor in decision-making. Stakeholders will also want to know about economic impact and cost metrics, such as cost per seedling, cost per farmer, impact per farmer, adoption rate per village, etc. but this is mostly for context. The number of trees distributed per farmer was capped in one of the trial arms (called 'T3' for short) because the nurseries did not produce enough to meet demand, primarily due to poor seed quality and low germination We are not sure what the survival rate of our farmers' planted seedlings will be (see Survival rates tab for a summary of evidence that one of your Program Officers put together) We are not sure what the planting rate of distributed seedlings will be, but we made estimates based on the Calculations tab. The "Tree Impact' tab is set up to estimate per-farmer farmer economic benefit (impact) based on a market price survey for the trees, input costs to the farmers, a standard net present value discount rate and opportunity cost of their land. There is one missing data point in the "Tree impact" model, found in pink/red. You need to estimate the number of trees each farmer will have that will survive to maturity (past two years) For budget, going forward we can assume a budget increase of 50% from each prior year. Our scale (number of farmers reached and trees grown) will depend on the budget.

Deliverables - please present these in this workbook and do not paste-values over your formulas 1 A summary table for stakeholders showing best-estimate key outcomes and SROI/impact metrics of this years trial (use the Trial Summary tab) 2 A short email recommendation on which trial arm to scale up and why, along with any caveats on the results or your recommendation that should be flagged or that might merit postponing a decision (use the Email Rec tab) 3 Any additional calculations that you might do to substantiate your recommendation (use a new tab)
avatar

Country Director

Interviewed at One Acre Fund

3.8★
Jun 13, 2019

Deliverables - please present these in this workbook and do not paste-values over your formulas 1 A summary table for stakeholders showing best-estimate key outcomes and SROI/impact metrics of this years trial (use the Trial Summary tab) 2 A short email recommendation on which trial arm to scale up and why, along with any caveats on the results or your recommendation that should be flagged or that might merit postponing a decision (use the Email Rec tab) 3 Any additional calculations that you might do to substantiate your recommendation (use a new tab)

Logistics You have four (4) hours to complete this activity. Invest as little or as much time as you would like. NB: We will be grading for quality and detail of the work. This means we will check that you have accurately followed all instructions and incorporated all important facts and assuptions. Upload this workbook to the link shared with you by the test administrator. If you have any questions, please contact the test administrator. Scenario 2018 is the second year of OAF-Ethiopia's tree program. The first year was a small trial in which we distributed 100 seedlings to 800 farmers to determine the Amhara farmer's willingness to plant a large volume of trees in one season. We are running a trial program (a large pilot essentially) to determine an ideal production/distribution model for future scale up. Details on the trial arms below. Because of the tree growing season, our budget for next year is due to the Budget Working Group before our tree planting survey is completed and almost a year before our survival survey will take place. Therefore, we need to make a decision on which trial arm to scale up based on incomplete information.
avatar

Country Director

Interviewed at One Acre Fund

3.8★
Jun 13, 2019

Logistics You have four (4) hours to complete this activity. Invest as little or as much time as you would like. NB: We will be grading for quality and detail of the work. This means we will check that you have accurately followed all instructions and incorporated all important facts and assuptions. Upload this workbook to the link shared with you by the test administrator. If you have any questions, please contact the test administrator. Scenario 2018 is the second year of OAF-Ethiopia's tree program. The first year was a small trial in which we distributed 100 seedlings to 800 farmers to determine the Amhara farmer's willingness to plant a large volume of trees in one season. We are running a trial program (a large pilot essentially) to determine an ideal production/distribution model for future scale up. Details on the trial arms below. Because of the tree growing season, our budget for next year is due to the Budget Working Group before our tree planting survey is completed and almost a year before our survival survey will take place. Therefore, we need to make a decision on which trial arm to scale up based on incomplete information.

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